Abstract
Pollutant emissions are one of the main reasons why the European Union supports the use of electric and hydrogen vehicles. However, the environmental benefits depend on the energy mix used to produce electricity. This study examines the reduction of pollutant emissions resulting from the substitution of internal combustion vehicles with electric and/or hydrogen vehicles in Poland and Spain. The analysis applies the COPERT methodology to estimate emissions and the external cost monetisation approach to assess environmental impacts. The findings indicate that in Poland, by 2027, replacing conventional vehicles with hybrids yields greater environmental benefits than substitution with electric or hydrogen vehicles. However, across the entire analysed period, electric and hydrogen vehicles are more environmentally beneficial. If the share of renewable energy in Poland’s mix does not grow as expected, replacing traditional vehicles with hybrids may be more sustainable. In Spain, increasing alternative vehicles remains the most favourable scenario.
References
Act from 11 January 2018. Act on electromobility and alternative fuels. Journal of Laws 2018, item 317. https://isap.sejm.gov.pl/isap.nsf/DocDetails.xsp?id=WDU20180000317 (in Polish).
Aminzadegan, S., Shahriari, M., Mehranfar, F., & Abramović, B. (2022). Factors affecting the emission of pollutants in different types of transportation: A literature review. Energy Reports, 8, 2508–2529. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2022.01.161
Berg, J., & Ihlström, J. (2019). The importance of public transport for mobility and everyday activities among rural residents. Social Sciences, 8(2), 58. https://doi.org/10.3390/socsci8020058
Bueno-Cadena, P. C., Vassallo, J. M., Herraiz, I., & Loro, M. (2016). Social and distributional effects of public transport fares and subsidy policies: Case of Madrid, Spain. Transportation Research Record, 2544(1), 47–54. https://doi.org/10.3141/2544-06
Burchart-Korol, D., Jursova, S., Folęga, P., Korol, J., Pustejovska, P., & Blaut, A. (2018). Environmental life cycle assessment of electric vehicles in Poland and the Czech Republic. Journal of Cleaner Production, 202, 476–487. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.08.145
Chłopek, Z., & Lasocki, J. (2013). Zastosowanie metody oceny cyklu istnienia do analizy właściwości ekologicznych samochodu. Zeszyty Naukowe Instytutu Pojazdów / Politechnika Warszawska, 1(92). (in Polish).
Directive (EU) 2014/94/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 22 October 2014 on the deployment of alternative fuels infrastructure, Pub. L. No. 32014L0094, 307 OJ L (2014). https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir/2014/94/oj/eng
Directive (EU) 2019/1161 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 20 June 2019 amending Directive 2009/33/EC on the promotion of clean and energy-efficient road transport vehicles, Pub. L. No. 32019L1161, 188 OJ L (2019). https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir/2019/1161/oj/eng
Directive 2010/40/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 7 July 2010 on the framework for the deployment of Intelligent Transport Systems in the field of road transport and for interfaces with other modes of transport, Pub. L. No. 32010L0040, 207 OJ L (2010). https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir/2010/40/oj/eng
European Commission. (2011). White Paper: Roadmap to a Single European Transport Area – Towards a competitive and resource efficient transport system, Pub. L. No. 52011DC0144. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=celex:52011DC0144
European Commission. (2016). Commission Staff Working Document Accompanying the document Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament, the Council, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions, A European Strategy for Low-Emission Mobility, Pub. L. No. 52016SC0244. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=SWD:2016:244:FIN
European Commission. (2019). Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament, the Council, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions, The European Green Deal, Pub. L. No. 52019DC0640. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=celex:52019DC0640
European Commission. (2020a). Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament, the Council, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions, Sustainable and Smart Mobility Strategy – putting European transport on track for the future, Pub. L. No. 52020DC0789. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=celex:52020DC0789
European Commission. (2020b). Handbook on the external costs of transport. https://op.europa.eu/en/publication-detail/-/publication/9781f65f-8448-11ea-bf12-01aa75ed71a1
Feng, J., Guo, P., & Xu, G. (2024). Barriers to electric vehicle battery recycling in a circular economy: An interpretive structural modeling. Journal of Cleaner Production, 469, 143224. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.143224
Hao, H., Wang, H., Song, L., Li, X., & Ouyang, M. (2010). Energy consumption and GHG emissions of GTL fuel by LCA: Results from eight demonstration transit buses in Beijing. Applied Energy, 87(10), 3212–3217. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2010.03.029
Humphrey, J. (2003). Globalization and supply chain networks: The auto industry in Brazil and India. Global Networks, 3(2), 121–141. https://doi.org/10.1111/1471-0374.00053
Iannuzzi, L., Hilbert, J. A., & Silva Lora, E. E. (2021). Life cycle assessment (LCA) for use on renewable sourced hydrogen fuel cell buses vs diesel engines buses in the city of Rosario, Argentina. International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 46(57), 29694–29705. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijhydene.2021.01.065
Kardasz, P., & Michalik, K. (2016). Ekologiczna ocena cyklu życia silnika spalinowego o zapłonie samoczynnym. AURA, 6, 98876. https://doi.org/10.15199/2.2016.6.4 (in Polish).
Ketter, W., Schroer, K., & Valogianni, K. (2023). Information systems research for smart sustainable mobility: A framework and call for action. Information Systems Research, 34(3), 1045–1065. https://doi.org/10.1287/isre.2022.1167
Knápek, B., Furch, J., & Krobot, Z. (2025). Life cycle assessment of selected parameters of passenger vehicles with different propulsion. Energy Conversion and Management, 342, 120143. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enconman.2025.120143
Ministry of Infrastructure of the Republic of Poland. (2019). Strategy for Sustainable Transport Development by 2030. https://www.gov.pl/web/infrastruktura/strategia-zrownowazonego-rozwoju-transportu-do-2030-roku
Morán, M. Á. T., & del Río González, P. (2007). Structural factors affecting land transport CO₂ emissions: A European comparison. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 12(4), 239–253. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2007.02.003
Oda, H., Noguchi, H., & Fuse, M. (2022). Review of life cycle assessment for automobiles: A meta-analysis-based approach. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 159, 112214. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2022.112214
Orellano, P., Reynoso, J., & Quaranta, N. (2021). Short-term exposure to sulphur dioxide (SO₂) and all-cause and respiratory mortality: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Environment International, 150, 106434. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2021.106434
Regulation (EU) 2019/1242 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 20 June 2019 setting CO₂ emission performance standards for new heavy-duty vehicles and amending Regulations (EC) No 595/2009 and (EU) 2018/956 of the European Parliament and of the Council and Council Directive 96/53/EC, Pub. L. No. 32019R1242, 198 OJ L (2019a). https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2019/1242/oj/eng
Regulation (EU) 2019/631 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 17 April 2019 setting CO₂ emission performance standards for new passenger cars and for new light commercial vehicles, and repealing Regulations (EC) No 443/2009 and (EU) No 510/2011, Pub. L. No. 32019R0631, 111 OJ L (2019b). https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2019/631/oj/eng
Regulation (EU) 2023/851 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 19 April 2023 amending Regulation (EU) 2019/631 as regards strengthening the CO₂ emission performance standards for new passenger cars and new light commercial vehicles in line with the Union’s increased climate ambition, Pub. L. No. 32023R0851, 110 OJ L. (2023). https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2023/851/oj
Rückerl, R., Schneider, A., Breitner, S., Cyrys, J., & Peters, A. (2011). Health effects of particulate air pollution: A review of epidemiological evidence. Inhalation Toxicology, 23(10), 555–592. https://doi.org/10.3109/08958378.2011.593587
Sendek-Matysiak, E. (2024). The assessment of the use of vehicles with different types of drive in car-sharing systems. Archives of Transport, 72(4), 129–149. https://doi.org/10.61089/aot2024.bg4xmr95
Szumska, E. M. (2024). Comprehensive review of life cycle assessment methodologies for passenger vehicles. Journal of Sustainable Development of Transport and Logistics, 9(1), 53–71. https://doi.org/10.14254/jsdtl.2024.9-1.5
Targa, J., Colina, M., Banyuls, L., González Ortiz, A., & Soares, J. (2025). Status report of air quality in Europe for year 2024, using validated and up-to-date data. ETC HE Report, 2025/1. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15168515
Trevisan, L., & Bordignon, M. (2020). Screening life cycle assessment to compare CO₂ and greenhouse gases emissions of air, road, and rail transport: An exploratory study. Procedia CIRP, 90, 303–309. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procir.2020.01.100
Turoń, K. (2022). Multi-criteria decision analysis during selection of vehicles for car-sharing services—Regular users’ expectations. Energies, 15(19), 7277. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15197277
Vaidyanathan, S., Slowik, P., & Junga, E. (2016). Rating the environmental impacts of motor vehicles: ACEEE’s greenercars.org methodology, 2016 edition (Report T1601). American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy. https://www.aceee.org/research-report/t1601
van Fan, Y., Perry, S., Klemeš, J. J., & Lee, C. T. (2018). A review on air emissions assessment: Transportation. Journal of Cleaner Production, 194, 673–684. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.05.151
Wang, Y., Shan, X., & Qiu, R. (2025). Lifecycle carbon dioxide emissions and cost assessment for battery electric bus systems. Journal of Cleaner Production, 501, 145278. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2025.145278
Wei, Z., & Mukherjee, S. (2024). Analyzing and forecasting service demands using human mobility data: A two-stage predictive framework with decomposition and multivariate analysis. Expert Systems with Applications, 238, 121698. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2023.121698
Yang, S., Li, M., Guo, C., Requia, W. J., Sakhvidi, M. J. Z., Lin, K., Zhu, Q., Chen, Z., Cao, P., Yang, L., Luo, D., & Yang, J. (2025). Associations of long-term exposure to nitrogen oxides with all-cause and cause-specific mortality. Nature Communications, 16, 1730. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56963-y
Zheng, G., & Peng, Z. (2021). Life cycle assessment (LCA) of BEV’s environmental benefits for meeting the challenge of ICExit (Internal Combustion Engine Exit). Energy Reports, 7, 1203–1216. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2021.02.039

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Copyright (c) 2026 Economics and Environment
